Probabilistic Perpetual Inventory Alert Program

Factored helped a top retailer recover $80M+ in sales by detecting inventory issues with AI-driven alerts and real-time anomaly detection.

Key Takeaways:

AI-driven alerts: ML models flagged inaccurate inventory data using SKU-level velocity and sales patterns.
Real-time impact: Over 5M targeted alerts led to $25M in out-of-stock corrections and $80M in total recovered revenue.
Seamless integration: Alerts prioritized by importance, delivered at optimal times, and designed to support store staff—not burden them.

A leading national retailer partnered with Factored to tackle a critical challenge: inconsistencies between reported inventory and actual shelf availability across thousands of stores and multiple brands. Shrinkage from product expiration, theft, delivery errors, and reporting inconsistencies was causing revenue loss and operational inefficiencies.

Factored deployed a data-driven inventory intelligence system powered by machine learning to proactively identify and correct inventory discrepancies—helping the retailer recover millions in lost sales.

Inventory misalignment was impacting both operations and sales:

  • Shelf gaps: Products marked as "in stock" were missing from shelves.
  • Shrinkage: Loss due to theft, spoilage, poor reporting, and delivery delays.
  • Revenue loss: Missed sales opportunities from out-of-shelf or out-of-stock items.

The retailer needed a scalable, intelligent solution to detect discrepancies in real time—without overburdening store staff or relying on costly manual audits.


Architecture for Probabilistic Perpetual Inventory Alert Program

Step 1: Comprehensive Data Collection

We integrated data pipelines capturing:

  • Daily inventory reporting across all brands and store locations.
  • Shipment and delivery records.
  • SKU-level product metadata.

Step 2: Machine Learning Analysis – Identifying Anomalies

Using historical sales patterns, we built models to detect abnormal sales velocities:

  • Flagged items with sales behavior deviations from historical norms.
  • Analyzed item turnover rates (velocity) at the store level.
  • Highlighted inventory discrepancies where system-reported stock levels were unlikely based on real-world selling patterns.

Step 3: Intelligent Alerts and Seamless Staff Integration

When anomalies were detected, the system sent targeted, actionable alerts to store devices:

  • Scheduled for early morning reviews to avoid customer disruption.
  • Prioritized based on item importance and sales patterns.
  • Equipped store staff with context (expected sales velocity, stock count, delivery dates) for efficient resolution.

Step 4: Real-Time Inventory Correction and Optimization

The system helped teams:

  • Catch out-of-shelf and out-of-stock errors earlier.
  • Correct inventory data before it impacts customer experience.
  • Improve both inventory accuracy and store profitability.

Business Outcomes

$80M in total recovered sales

  • 5.77M intelligent alerts sent across stores within 6 months.
  • 78% production alert accuracy, quickly identifying inventory issues that mattered.
  • $25M directly recovered from out-of-stock corrections alone.
  • 85% model accuracy goal, progress was made with refinements underway to align better with evolving business methodologies.
  • Daily inventory reporting across all brands and store locations.
  • Shipment and delivery records.
  • SKU-level product metadata.
Skills
No items found.
Roles
No items found.

Continue Reading

Databricks Based Gen AI Personalized Recommendation
Learn More >
Databricks Based LLMs for Market Research
Learn More >
Reducing Manufacturing Downtime with Predictive Analytics
Learn More >
Want to discuss a solution for you?
Get in touch
Exceptional talent at lower costs
Start interviewing within one week
Have talent placed in under a month